I’ve talked about earlier than (and can point out once more a number of instances) that I do my very own projections, however I verify to see what Steamer is doing for projections, as a result of we associate with them and it might be A) Irresponsible to not verify. B) Silly. C) There’s no C. D)umb E) Silly, dumb and irresponsible had been kinda the identical so how is there an E is there wasn’t actually a B, C or D? F) Cease lettering shizz! G) Rattling it! H) That’s it! I) give up! So, I point out Steamer projections as a result of I used to be casually searching for sleepers for the 2025 fantasy baseball season, and testing what they had been saying to see if I missed one thing. I sorted by steals and noticed Acuña with 51. Okay, is smart, nothing bizarre there. Then I noticed Corbin Carroll with 41 and I used to be like, “Yeah, I can see that. He’s very quick.” Then third for many projected steals is the place I noticed Victor Robles with 37 steals, and I actually fell out of my seat. No exaggeration. Plus, I used to be standing in a chair so it was an particularly excessive fall. Who’s going to pay for my physician’s invoice? Victor Robles or Steamer? I demand solutions! So, what can we count on from Victor Robles for 2025 fantasy baseball and what makes him a sleeper?
PSYCHE! I’ve begun to roll out my 2025 fantasy baseball rankings on the Patreon. Don’t look ahead to the rankings to come back out subsequent month. Additionally, I set us up with Gladiator draft to shake the rust off for my first 2025 fantasy baseball draft. For these unaware, a Gladiator draft is a 15-team league, and the 23 you draft are the 23 locked into your roster all season. That’s it, no FAAB, no lineup setting, nothing to do after the draft ends. It’s as simple as drafting gamers who will carry out effectively and by no means get damage. It’s additionally solely $50 vs. the $150. There’s solely a sure variety of these drafts, so the pool for general prizes is shallower too. Once we’re achieved with this, I’ll arrange a DC. The draft begins on Thursday at midday, however it’s a gradual draft, so that you don’t should be close to a pc. Come draft with me! Right here’s the hyperlink. Anyway II, the Victor Robles sleeper:
Final yr, Victor Robles obtained a brand new lease on life with the Mariners. With a wonderful FICO rating, he was authorized for “hitting leadoff” and “in entrance of Julio Rodriguez.” After all, the lease turned out to have some high quality print that learn, “Julio Rodriguez is now solely good within the month of September.” Nonetheless, what a pleasure for Robles. Additionally, don’t say “what a pleasure” aloud round strangers as a result of they’ll have permission to punch you within the mouth. Within the 2nd half final yr, Robles hit .323 with 26 steals in 53 video games and 198 ABs. That got here with a 17 Okay% and 5.8 BB%. The bizarre factor is you is likely to be pondering to your self, “How did the Mariners make him a superb hitter and might they do it once more for JRod?” Good query. Dot dot dot. Not! I reversal’d your ass. In a partial season (107 ABs) with the Nats the yr earlier than, Robles hit .299. Going again the yr earlier than that (that’s known as 2022), and he wasn’t fairly this hitter, however he’s 27 till Might and has proven himself to be a brand new and improved Hit Device man with velocity. You don’t have a ~16 Okay% throughout two years by luck. He seems like a .285 hitter with 35-steal velocity. That’s glorious.
However, ya know, you’ll find steals low-cost, proper? SAGNOF, in spite of everything. Jacob Younger is sixth on the Steamer record for steals at 31 steals; he has distinctive velocity; is being drafted even later than Victor Robles; semicolons are enjoyable, and far more enjoyable than semiconductors. Actually, Jacob Younger isn’t a foul late identify to place in your rear pocket while you’re about to put in your abdomen, however that is about Victor Robles and is he simply steals? Nicely, no, I stated he was a .285 hitter. Too unhealthy he by no means hit for energy. [intern whispers in ear] What!? Rattling it! I simply climbed again up on this chair and fell off once more. Possibly I ought to cease standing on chairs. Victor Robles hit 17 homers in 2019. Sure, that was the yr the ball was juiced out the gills as they are saying at bodybuilding competitions amongst fish. In a half yr final yr, he hit 4 homers and solely three in 53 video games with the M’s. Don’t suppose he’s going to instantly hit 20 homers or one thing ridiculous. Ten homers isn’t obscene, although.
Let’s do a recap and wrap this up like we’re Erykah Badu, he has double digit energy, presumably. Ought to hit round .285. Will hit leadoff. And has 30+ steal velocity. Somebody with that potential who has by no means reached these heights? Steven Kwan. He went 14/12/.292 final yr. He’s being drafted fifty spots in entrance of Victor Robles. C’mon. Pete Crow-Armstrong (who I like) went 10/27/.237 final yr. Basically similar velocity and energy, however fifty factors off in common. He’s being drafted eighty spots larger than Robles. Mmkay. For 2025, I’ll give Victor Robles projections of 76/8/47/.287/34 in 471 ABs with an opportunity for far more.